Statistics Profile

Ilia Andreev

1995

Nellya Fencers

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	3098	2042 - 4153	3098	3098
Foil	Direct elimination	3004	1797 - 4210	3004	3004
Saber	Pool	3172	2862 - 3481	3107	3774
Saber	Direct elimination	3553	3223 - 3882	3553	4040

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.