Statistics Profile

Melissa Verwest

1977

Spokane Fencers Unlimited

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1491	1068 - 1913	1491	1800
Foil	Direct elimination	1533	575 - 2490	1533	2148
Saber	Pool	1470	1032 - 1907	1056	1489
Saber	Direct elimination	1600	456 - 2743	1600	1829

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.