Statistics Profile

Anastasia Ershova

1997

LEO Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1687	1512 - 1861	1683	2268
Épée	Direct elimination	2037	1779 - 2294	1717	2300
Foil	Pool	1119	833 - 1404	1119	2921
Foil	Direct elimination	1023	291 - 1754	1023	1705

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.