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Statistics Profile

William Barnes

2002
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Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 2519 1791 - 3246 2519 2519
Épée Direct elimination 1834 601 - 3066 1834 1834
Foil Pool 2235 1425 - 3044 2235 2235
Foil Direct elimination 1749 482 - 3015 1749 1749
Saber Pool 2177 1953 - 2400 2133 2456
Saber Direct elimination 2431 2107 - 2754 2323 2725

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.