Statistics Profile

Ashley Juarez

2006

Cortines HS of VAPA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2060	1291 - 2828	2060	2060
Foil	Direct elimination	2064	1011 - 3116	2064	2064
Saber	Pool	727	172 - 1281	727	791
Saber	Direct elimination	1247	207 - 2286	1247	1548

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.