Statistics Profile

Elijah Stein

2002

Denison University Fencing NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1655	842 - 2467	1655	1655
Épée	Direct elimination	2440	1319 - 3560	2440	2440
Foil	Pool	1148	307 - 1988	1148	1205
Foil	Direct elimination	2192	817 - 3566	2192	2192

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.