Statistics Profile

Kurt Lagemann

1994

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1841	1512 - 2169	1841	2211
Épée	Direct elimination	2077	1534 - 2619	1925	2546
Foil	Pool	1495	1215 - 1774	1360	1875
Foil	Direct elimination	1761	1317 - 2204	1761	2220

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.