Statistics Profile

Daniel Keno

1955

Cabrillo Academy Of The Sword LLC

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	757	459 - 1054	757	1097
Épée	Direct elimination	857	231 - 1482	857	2254
Foil	Pool	576	182 - 969	576	1242
Foil	Direct elimination	1000	175 - 1824	1000	1675

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.