Statistics Profile

Laila Elbaghdady

2012

Cardinal Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1351	930 - 1771	1236	1351
Épée	Direct elimination	1654	903 - 2404	1480	1795
Saber	Pool	977	303 - 1650	977	977
Saber	Direct elimination	1697	469 - 2924	1697	1697

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.