Statistics Profile

Florentine Koesters

2011

Jovanovic Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1078	554 - 1601	966	1078
Épée	Direct elimination	1499	348 - 2649	1499	1499
Foil	Pool	1246	1075 - 1416	398	1259
Foil	Direct elimination	1213	993 - 1432	767	1796

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.