Statistics Profile

Sarah Greger

2001

University Of Wyoming Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1289	624 - 1953	1116	1289
Épée	Direct elimination	2146	1088 - 3203	2146	2146
Foil	Pool	1430	599 - 2260	1199	1430
Foil	Direct elimination	1798	564 - 3031	1798	1798

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.