Statistics Profile

Chet Russell

2002

University Of Wyoming Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2408	1957 - 2858	2275	2630
Épée	Direct elimination	2190	1589 - 2790	1749	2489
Saber	Pool	1360	540 - 2179	1360	1360
Saber	Direct elimination	1620	438 - 2801	1620	1620

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.