Statistics Profile

Kevin Chen

2012

5T Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1091	919 - 1262	573	1451
Foil	Direct elimination	1061	838 - 1283	1030	1898
Saber	Pool	823	635 - 1010	789	1014
Saber	Direct elimination	1180	850 - 1509	1180	1955

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.