Statistics Profile

Ruben Nikolov

2009

Phoenix Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	774	17 - 1530	774	774
Foil	Direct elimination	1167	141 - 2192	1167	1167
Saber	Pool	1520	1320 - 1719	1178	1520
Saber	Direct elimination	1752	1463 - 2040	1366	1952

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.