Statistics Profile

Jax Fonseca-Folden

2002

University of North Carolina Charlotte Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1159	268 - 2049	1159	1159
Épée	Direct elimination	1875	574 - 3175	1875	1875
Foil	Pool	2103	1458 - 2747	2103	2103
Foil	Direct elimination	2425	1546 - 3303	2425	2425
Saber	Pool	1621	967 - 2274	1621	1783
Saber	Direct elimination	2002	996 - 3007	1787	2002

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.