Statistics Profile

ERIN CHOI

2007

East Coast Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1040	345 - 1734	1040	1040
Épée	Direct elimination	1297	144 - 2449	1297	1297
Foil	Pool	1216	1011 - 1420	730	1216
Foil	Direct elimination	1377	955 - 1798	1182	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.