Statistics Profile

Samantha Kelling

2008

Space City Fencing Academy (pearland)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	907	63 - 1750	907	907
Épée	Direct elimination	1999	715 - 3282	1999	1999
Foil	Pool	961	754 - 1167	856	1284
Foil	Direct elimination	1284	901 - 1666	1186	2170

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.