Statistics Profile

Estelle Maddison

2013

Z1 Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1200	331 - 2068	1200	1200
Foil	Direct elimination	1595	422 - 2767	1595	1595
Saber	Pool	850	678 - 1021	560	1138
Saber	Direct elimination	1200	965 - 1434	888	1680

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.