Statistics Profile

David Cianchetta

Verified
2011
Vivo Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1051 880 - 1221 676 1051
Épée Direct elimination 1102 834 - 1369 819 1869
Foil Pool 490 0 - 1158 490 490

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.