The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem.

Take Action

Statistics Profile

Alaric Shen

Verified
2012
Sabio Fencing Academy Silicon Valley Fencing Center

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 994 565 - 1422 900 1063
Épée Direct elimination 1370 600 - 2139 1370 1533
Foil Pool 1034 849 - 1218 711 1784
Foil Direct elimination 1191 861 - 1520 539 1544
Saber Pool 980 794 - 1165 798 1198
Saber Direct elimination 1062 724 - 1399 1062 1435

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

Register to view this matchup

Create a free account with your USFA number to unlock projected win chances and strength changes.

Create account Log in

Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.