Statistics Profile

Alaric Shen

Verified
2012
Altius Fencing Academy Bay Area Fencing Club Pleasanton

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 950 564 - 1335 900 1063
Épée Direct elimination 1358 601 - 2114 1358 1533
Foil Pool 1018 835 - 1200 711 1784
Foil Direct elimination 1250 943 - 1556 539 1544
Saber Pool 980 794 - 1165 798 1198
Saber Direct elimination 1062 724 - 1399 1062 1435

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.