Statistics Profile

Leo Barton

2003

Buccaneer Blades Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1266	256 - 2275	1266	1266
Épée	Direct elimination	1615	428 - 2801	1615	1615
Foil	Pool	1481	1130 - 1831	1474	1910
Foil	Direct elimination	1588	977 - 2198	1449	1754
Saber	Pool	1816	1083 - 2548	1816	1874
Saber	Direct elimination	2087	1035 - 3138	2087	2087

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.