Statistics Profile

Preston Wong

2008

Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1840	1677 - 2002	805	1917
Épée	Direct elimination	2066	1880 - 2251	1598	2066
Foil	Pool	989	412 - 1565	971	989
Foil	Direct elimination	1445	363 - 2526	1445	1775

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.