Statistics Profile

Morgan Cole

1982

Space City Fencing Academy Space City Fencing Academy (pearland)

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1890	1570 - 2209	1735	1891
Épée	Direct elimination	1863	1348 - 2377	1595	1996
Foil	Pool	1584	1337 - 1830	1254	1743
Foil	Direct elimination	1983	1618 - 2347	1677	2074

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.