Statistics Profile

Kylin McMahon

2006

Shoreline Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2353	1721 - 2984	2353	3056
Foil	Direct elimination	2402	1624 - 3179	2402	2421
Saber	Pool	1781	1599 - 1962	1778	3240
Saber	Direct elimination	2188	1927 - 2448	2188	3165

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.