Statistics Profile

Anima Tumula

2013

Pegasus Sword Academy Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	667	487 - 846	443	1026
Épée	Direct elimination	1016	730 - 1301	882	2079
Foil	Pool	158	0 - 404	132	629
Foil	Direct elimination	929	459 - 1398	860	1822

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.