Statistics Profile

nathan xuan

2013

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1174	924 - 1423	816	1174
Épée	Direct elimination	1206	693 - 1718	1167	1481
Foil	Pool	926	726 - 1125	265	930
Foil	Direct elimination	991	568 - 1413	663	1683

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.