Statistics Profile

Jesse Hutcherson

1955

Eugene Fencers Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1282	377 - 2186	1282	1282
Foil	Direct elimination	2121	779 - 3462	2121	2121
Saber	Pool	2025	1536 - 2513	2025	2339
Saber	Direct elimination	2231	1161 - 3300	2042	2231

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.