Statistics Profile

Alex Bozarth

Verified
2006
Virginia Tech Fencing Club Fencing Center Of Chicago

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1805 1631 - 1978 1156 1890
Épée Direct elimination 1771 1540 - 2001 1558 1898
Foil Pool 1358 1080 - 1635 1208 2212
Foil Direct elimination 1825 1337 - 2312 1669 2139
Saber Pool 1496 638 - 2353 1496 1496
Saber Direct elimination 1507 262 - 2751 1507 1507

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.