Statistics Profile

Hayden Harris

2011

Fresno Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1458	1200 - 1715	1116	1458
Épée	Direct elimination	1578	1049 - 2106	1487	2069
Foil	Pool	1264	1064 - 1463	604	1269
Foil	Direct elimination	1850	1539 - 2160	1324	1850

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.