Statistics Profile

Shawn Mo

2014

International Academy for Fencing Education Space City Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	745	506 - 983	403	842
Épée	Direct elimination	1206	723 - 1688	1147	1663
Foil	Pool	759	495 - 1022	759	1075
Foil	Direct elimination	1524	1033 - 2014	1176	1773

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.