Statistics Profile

Sophia Yao

2011

Revolution Fencing Center Fencing Academy Of Philadelphia - North

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1140	963 - 1316	730	1193
Épée	Direct elimination	1390	1079 - 1700	1237	2141
Foil	Pool	602	0 - 1469	602	1169

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.