Statistics Profile

Tian Yi Tim Cheung (Tim)

2007

Swordplay LA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1755	1367 - 2142	1584	1830
Épée	Direct elimination	1639	929 - 2348	1639	1893
Foil	Pool	1904	1475 - 2332	1870	2142
Foil	Direct elimination	1688	899 - 2476	1496	1828

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.