Statistics Profile

Jennifer Ju

2012

Medeo Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1562	1394 - 1729	903	2821
Épée	Direct elimination	1791	1625 - 1956	1194	1970
Foil	Pool	1148	497 - 1798	1148	1148
Foil	Direct elimination	1986	885 - 3086	1986	1986

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.