Statistics Profile

Patrick Cousins

2004

University of Georgia Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1539	1210 - 1867	917	1539
Épée	Direct elimination	792	11 - 1572	792	1336
Foil	Pool	1380	1182 - 1577	1255	1514
Foil	Direct elimination	1615	1237 - 1992	1138	2059
Saber	Pool	1296	420 - 2171	1296	1296
Saber	Direct elimination	1973	940 - 3005	1973	1973

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.