Statistics Profile

Ande Reyes

2003

Clemson University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	909	0 - 1865	909	909
Foil	Direct elimination	1683	383 - 2982	1683	1683
Saber	Pool	1667	1362 - 1971	1490	1860
Saber	Direct elimination	1578	866 - 2289	1578	2026

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.