Statistics Profile

Rowan Cunningham

2004

Clemson University Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1299	852 - 1745	1299	1481
Épée	Direct elimination	1529	731 - 2326	1529	1715
Foil	Pool	1391	520 - 2261	1391	1391
Saber	Pool	1479	1179 - 1778	1200	1501
Saber	Direct elimination	1836	1259 - 2412	1281	1981

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.