Statistics Profile

Jack Howard

2009

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1169	543 - 1794	1169	1541
Épée	Direct elimination	1191	234 - 2147	1191	1634
Foil	Pool	603	51 - 1154	603	988
Foil	Direct elimination	1605	731 - 2478	1605	2022

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.