Statistics Profile

Jayan Dispenza

2012

Pegasus Sword Academy Inc.

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	786	597 - 974	786	1222
Épée	Direct elimination	1233	931 - 1534	1184	1749
Foil	Pool	419	119 - 718	419	784
Foil	Direct elimination	1158	591 - 1724	873	1926

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.