Statistics Profile

Micah Morris

2012

Freehold Fencing Academy

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	881	591 - 1170	881	1044
Épée	Direct elimination	1847	1364 - 2329	1545	2035
Foil	Pool	707	497 - 916	396	1109
Foil	Direct elimination	1102	763 - 1440	987	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.