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Statistics Profile

Emery Shelly

Verified
2000
University of Virginia Fencing Club

Current strength

Weapon Type Strength Estimate Range* Min Max
Épée Pool 1732 1555 - 1908 1719 2239
Épée Direct elimination 1983 1699 - 2266 1301 1993
Foil Pool 2276 1314 - 3237 2276 2276
Foil Direct elimination 2204 1109 - 3298 2204 2204
Saber Pool 992 697 - 1286 992 1562
Saber Direct elimination 1302 733 - 1870 1302 2797

* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

Matchup against me

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

How it works

  • Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
  • The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
  • New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
  • Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
  • The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
  • Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
  • Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
  • Per-bout changes are available in bout history.