Statistics Profile

Rollan Knight

2009

Harvard-Westlake High School Wolverines

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1651	1283 - 2018	1651	1961
Épée	Direct elimination	1881	1226 - 2535	1820	2049
Foil	Pool	1443	1207 - 1678	1337	2022
Foil	Direct elimination	1593	1188 - 1997	1404	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.