Statistics Profile

Phillip Hunter

2006

University of Detroit Mercy NCAA

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	3076	1828 - 4323	3076	3076
Épée	Direct elimination	2969	1784 - 4153	2969	2969
Foil	Pool	1726	1543 - 1908	1571	1882
Foil	Direct elimination	1803	1527 - 2078	1205	1803

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.