Statistics Profile

Jonah Tatsapaugh

2004

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1911	1564 - 2257	1360	1911
Épée	Direct elimination	1995	1458 - 2531	1655	2046
Saber	Pool	2215	1243 - 3186	2215	2215
Saber	Direct elimination	1967	616 - 3317	1967	1967

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.