Statistics Profile

Aiden James

2003

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1643	1072 - 2213	911	1643
Épée	Direct elimination	1507	408 - 2605	1507	2053
Saber	Pool	1192	322 - 2061	1192	1192
Saber	Direct elimination	2079	640 - 3517	2079	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.