Statistics Profile

George Townsend

1995

Traverse City Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	2186	1876 - 2495	2167	3419
Épée	Direct elimination	2434	1941 - 2926	2434	2826
Saber	Pool	1602	800 - 2403	1602	1602
Saber	Direct elimination	1499	316 - 2681	1499	1499

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.