Statistics Profile

Samuel Tharrington

2002

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1691	756 - 2625	1691	1691
Épée	Direct elimination	1724	764 - 2683	1724	1910
Foil	Pool	1428	447 - 2408	1428	1428
Foil	Direct elimination	2369	1256 - 3481	2369	2369
Saber	Pool	1015	641 - 1388	1015	1476
Saber	Direct elimination	1583	904 - 2261	1450	1703

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.