Statistics Profile

Derrick Derringer

2002

University Of Tennessee Knoxville Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1743	1282 - 2203	1649	1743
Épée	Direct elimination	1412	571 - 2252	1412	1842
Foil	Pool	1499	574 - 2423	1499	1499
Foil	Direct elimination	1494	270 - 2717	1494	1494
Saber	Pool	1327	492 - 2161	1327	1327
Saber	Direct elimination	1772	481 - 3062	1772	1772

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.