Statistics Profile

Thomas Van Stein

1961

Boise Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1191	809 - 1572	956	1191
Foil	Direct elimination	1593	798 - 2387	1593	1981
Saber	Pool	2381	1406 - 3355	2381	2381
Saber	Direct elimination	1607	376 - 2837	1607	1607

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.