Statistics Profile

Joshua Handler

2011

Blue Ridge Fencing Center

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	1123	627 - 1618	1123	1739
Foil	Direct elimination	1148	224 - 2071	1148	1931
Saber	Pool	760	267 - 1252	760	916
Saber	Direct elimination	1636	669 - 2602	1636	2079

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.