Statistics Profile

Cynthia Huang

2013

Fencing Center Of Chicago

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	550	349 - 750	311	566
Épée	Direct elimination	853	444 - 1261	778	1588
Foil	Pool	337	112 - 561	245	832
Foil	Direct elimination	768	306 - 1229	669	1823

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.